The Honest Quant.
Open the Lab

What is Rate of Change (ROC), and does momentum trading work?

A plain-English explainer — then the honest backtest, because knowing what it is isn't the same as knowing whether it works.

Rate of Change (ROC) measures how far price has moved over a set lookback — say the last 20 or 126 days — as a percentage. It's one of the purest ways to put a number on 'momentum'.

Momentum strategies buy what's already been going up, betting that recent strength persists. The lookback window is the whole decision: one-month momentum behaves nothing like six-month momentum.

Momentum is one of the most robust effects in all of finance — and honest backtests broadly agree the longer-horizon versions hold up well, while very short lookbacks are noisier.

Does Rate of Change (momentum) actually work?

Don't take the textbook's word for it — see the honest, survivorship-free score.

See the honest backtest →

Strategies built on Rate of Change (momentum), honestly tested

ROC momentum · one-month momentum · six-month momentum · the ROC zero-line cross · all strategies →

Frequently asked

What is Rate of Change (ROC), and does momentum trading work?

Rate of Change (ROC) measures how far price has moved over a set lookback — say the last 20 or 126 days — as a percentage. It's one of the purest ways to put a number on 'momentum'. Momentum strategies buy what's already been going up, betting that recent strength persists. The lookback wi

Is Rate of Change (momentum) profitable?

On its own, Rate of Change (momentum) is an indicator, not a guarantee. We backtested the strategies built on it with survivorship-free data — see the honest scores linked below.

Get the monthly honest teardown

One popular strategy put on trial, in your inbox — once a month. No signals, no hype.

Educational, not financial advice. An honest backtest score measures whether a result survives statistical scrutiny — it does not predict future profit, and is not a buy or sell signal. · About · FAQ · All strategies