We ran the textbook strategies through five statistical tests on survivorship-free NIFTY & BANKNIFTY data. Ranked by honesty score — not by hype. None of this is advice.
| Strategy | Honesty | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| The bollinger band breakout | 83.6 | SURVIVES SCRUTINY |
| Buying rsi strength above 60 | 83.6 | SURVIVES SCRUTINY |
| Stochastic crossovers in an uptrend | 83.6 | SURVIVES SCRUTINY |
| The 20/50 ema crossover | 82.0 | SURVIVES SCRUTINY |
| The stochastic oversold signal | 81.3 | SURVIVES SCRUTINY |
| Trading only when adx is above 25 | 79.9 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| One-month momentum | 79.9 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| The supertrend indicator | 78.3 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| The connors rsi-2 strategy | 77.7 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| The golden cross | 75.0 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| The macd crossover | 74.9 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| Reclaiming the 50-day average | 74.9 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| Rate-of-change momentum | 73.3 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| Only buying above the 200-day average | 69.3 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| The macd zero-line cross | 68.3 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| Buying the lower bollinger band | 66.3 | PLAUSIBLE BUT FRAGILE |
| Buying when rsi drops below 30 | 56.4 | WEAK — PROBABLY OVERFIT |
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Educational, not financial advice. An honest backtest score measures whether a result survives statistical scrutiny — it does not predict future profit, and is not a buy or sell signal. · About · FAQ · All strategies