A computed answer — not an opinion. Here's what nearly two decades of honest data say.
Clears all five traps that fool most backtests — necessary, but not sufficient. This does NOT promise future profit; no backtest can. Verify with paper/live before risking capital.
Across nearly two decades of survivorship-free NIFTY & BANKNIFTY data — out-of-sample, after real costs — the stochastic breakout above 80 scored 85.0/100 and actually survives honest scrutiny. That's rare: most strategies people teach fall apart under this kind of test.
Here's what it gets right:
Five statistical tests, no mercy: out-of-sample decay (is the edge curve-fit?), Monte-Carlo robustness (is it just luck?), real cost & slippage survival, survivorship-bias exposure, and sample-size adequacy. Run on NIFTY 50 and BANKNIFTY — survivorship-free by construction, the most honest data available — across roughly two decades. Rules are read at each day's close and filled the next open, so the strategy can never peek at the bar it trades on.
See the full breakdown — free
Run the stochastic breakout above 80 live, pick your market, and get its honest score plus all five tests in about 10 seconds — no signup needed to see the score.
Run the stochastic breakout above 80 now →On a true, survivorship-free test (85.0/100, survives scrutiny), the stochastic breakout above 80 holds up. A backtest looking profitable is not the same as a strategy being real — most aren't. Test your own version free at The Honest Quant.
This verdict was computed on NIFTY 50 and BANKNIFTY index data (survivorship-free) over nearly two decades. It scored 85.0/100 — survives scrutiny.
Our overfitting test checks how much of the edge survives out-of-sample. See the full breakdown — and run your own parameters — in the lab.
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Educational, not financial advice. An honest backtest score measures whether a result survives statistical scrutiny — it does not predict future profit, and is not a buy or sell signal. · About · FAQ · All strategies